NSGA-II-trained neural network approach to the estimation of prediction intervals of scale deposition rate in oil & gas equipment - CentraleSupélec Accéder directement au contenu
Article Dans Une Revue Expert Systems with Applications Année : 2013

NSGA-II-trained neural network approach to the estimation of prediction intervals of scale deposition rate in oil & gas equipment

Résumé

Scale deposition can damage equipment in the oil & gas production industry. Hence, the reliable and accurate prediction of the scale deposition rate is critical for production availability. In this study, we consider the problem of predicting the scale deposition rate, providing an indication of the associated prediction uncertainty. We tackle the problem using an empirical modeling approach, based on experimental data. Specifically, we implement a multi-objective genetic algorithm (namely, non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II (NSGA-II)) to train a neural network (NN) (i.e. to find its parameters, that is its weights and biases) to provide the prediction intervals (PIs) of the scale deposition rate. The PIs are optimized both in terms of accuracy (coverage probability) and dimension (width). We perform k-fold cross-validation to guide the choice of the NN structure (i.e. the number of hidden neurons). We use hypervolume indicator metric to evaluate the Pareto fronts in the validation step. A case study is considered, with regards to a set of experimental observations: the NSGA-II-trained neural network is shown capable of providing PIs with both high coverage and small width.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
ak_li_vitelli_zio_droguett_jacinto.pdf (626.94 Ko) Télécharger le fichier
Origine : Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)

Dates et versions

hal-00734441 , version 1 (18-12-2012)

Identifiants

Citer

Ronay Ak, Yan-Fu Li, Valeria Vitelli, Enrico Zio. NSGA-II-trained neural network approach to the estimation of prediction intervals of scale deposition rate in oil & gas equipment. Expert Systems with Applications, 2013, 40 (4), pp.1205-1212. ⟨10.1016/j.eswa.2012.08.018⟩. ⟨hal-00734441⟩
146 Consultations
935 Téléchargements

Altmetric

Partager

Gmail Facebook X LinkedIn More